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IBM’s cloud will soon presents more IaaS and AI capabilities powered by pass of its own POWER9 CPUs.
huge Blue has previously offered punch CPUs for infrastructure-as-a-carrier, but restricted their availability to only 1 information seat in Dallas, Texas, and concentrated on a rent-a-server choice, plus an influence-powered AI provider offered through accomplice Nimbix.
but on the business’s suppose conference in San Francisco closing week, IBM introduced the debut of its POWER9 platform with a brand original “virtual Server on IBM Cloud—accessible in select IBM Cloud records facilities [northern] spring 2019” plus the objective to Hurry its own energy AI provider.
As IBM had in the past most effectual offered punch in its Dallas information centres and never flagged the exhaust of others, iTnews inquired which facts centers would derive the brand original offering and became instructed the platform will land “in Dallas and Washington information centres and then increasing to Europe and Asia later this yr.”
“The time body for international roll out is being finalized and they will live working to free up greater broadly later this yr (2nd half of the year).”
This tidings could live welcome by pass of clients of vigour methods. IBM continues to adjust the platform and wins greenfield revenue for vigour, which has some merits over x86 in some roles. however the bulk of vigour clients Hurry legacy applications and abide just huge Blue to deal with. Third-birthday party clouds abide shown slight activity in vigour-as-a-carrier, leaving such clients with few alternatives apart from trying to negotiate tough on whatever expenses IBM presents.
IBM expanding the footprint of its power-as-a-carrier footprint will for this intuition live very welcome news, as it represents a cloudy opex alternative IBM has prior to now now not provided.
news that “The IBM Cloud and IBM vigour methods groups are working hand-in-hand to deploy the uncooked performance of POWER9-based digital servers with NVIDIA V100 GPUs on Linux for machine getting to know and artificial intelligence workloads” is likewise interesting. Teaming with NVIDIA suggests IBM has taken word of specialist AI clouds from the likes of AWS, Google and Microsoft, and determined it needs a personalized offering too.
these days precise-time database company ScyllaDB announced a brand original Scylla enterprise unencumber with optimizations for IBM power outfit Servers with the IBM POWER9 multi-core architecture. by pass of combining Scylla’s particularly performant, shut-to-the-hardware design with next-technology IBM power gadget Servers, companies can attain original tiers of efficiency whereas additionally reducing the footprint, freight and complexity of their systems.
ScyllaDB has designed a powerful dispensed database that extends the efficiency benefits we’ve introduced with their multi-core POWER9 processors,” talked about Tim Vincent, IBM Fellow and vp of IBM Cognitive techniques. “The aggregate of the Scylla NoSQL database and their energy device Servers permits their shared shoppers to scale up their methods rather than continuously scaling out, creating original opportunities for statistics core consolidation and value efficiency.”
This integration builds upon a multi-faceted relationship between ScyllaDB and IBM. In 2016, IBM Compose begun proposing Scylla as fragment of their database-as-a-provider providing. The collaboration has since grown to consist of additional IBM divisions, together with IBM methods (both IBM vigour methods and Z systems), IBM Cloud (including IBM Graph as a provider) and IBM’s interior exhaust of Scylla to energy the IBM Cloud carrier Catalog.
Scylla is an open supply drop-in alternative for Apache Cassandra. It can provide scale-up performance of 1,000,000 IOPS per node, scales out to hundreds of nodes, and at entire times achieves a ninety nine% tail latency of under 1 millisecond. Scylla’s pioneering shard-per-core implementation, asynchronous architecture and auto-tuning capabilities permit corporations to automatically leverage the complete benefits of the multi-core POWER9 chip.
IBM power systems servers are designed for mission-critical purposes and rising Cognitive epoch workloads together with synthetic intelligence, computing device learning, abysmal getting to know, superior analytics and excessive-efficiency computing. whether deployed in a personal, public or hybrid cloud, vigour system Servers are able to performing tens of millions of I/O operations per 2nd. as a result of Scylla operates asynchronously, it is capable of consume complete competencies of the pace of the POWER9 processor, riding both I/O and CPU processing in a routine that scales linearly with the variety of cores on the CPU.
we are excited with the aid of the various advancements IBM has made with its energy outfit Servers,” stated Dor Laor, CEO of ScyllaDB. “As facts volumes proceed to raise, companies deserve to procedure more advantageous workloads yet likewise steer transparent of introducing more complexity into their methods. The aggregate of Scylla and IBM POWER9 supplies unheard of efficiency, scale, density and effectivity whereas significantly simplifying the executive burden of gigantic facts methods.”
Scylla database variations with usher for IBM vigour techniques can live create for down load from the ScyllaDB web site.
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February eleven, 2019 Timothy Prickett Morgan
If nothing else, the IBM i platform has exhibited staggering durability. One might even grunt legendary sturdiness, if you want to consume its historical past entire of the routine back to the equipment/3 minicomputer from 1969. here's the proper birth aspect within the AS/400 family tree and here is when great Blue, for very sound felony and technical and advertising reasons, decided to fork its items to wield the exciting needs of great agencies (with the equipment/360 mainframe and its observe-ons) and minute and medium organizations (beginning with the system/three and relocating on throughout the equipment/34, gadget/32, system/38, and device/36 within the Seventies and early Nineteen Eighties and passing during the AS/four hundred, AS/400e, iSeries, gadget i, and then IBM i on power programs systems.
It has been an extended Hurry certainly, and many purchasers who abide invested within the platform begun means returned then and there with the early models of RPG and moved their purposes ahead and changed them as their companies developed and the depth and breadth of company computing modified, relocating on up through RPG II, RPG III, RPG IV, ILE RPG, and now RPG free form. Being on this platform for even three a long time makes you a relative newcomer.
there is a longer Hurry forward, since they correspond with that the businesses that are still running IBM i programs are the actual diehards, those who abide no objective of leaving the platform and that, at the least in line with the survey information we've been privy too, are desiring to proceed investing in, or even expand their investments in, the IBM i platform.
thus far, they aren't in a recession and heaven willing there aren't one, so the priorities that IBM i retail outlets abide don't appear to live the ones that that they had a decade in the past entire through the top of the awesome Recession. returned then, as turned into the case in very nearly entire IT organizations, IBM i stores had been hunkering down and abide been attempting to reduce prices in entire methods feasible, together with deferring system improvements and migrations as well as chopping lower back on other projects. most effectual 29 p.c of the 750 IBM i stores that participated in the 2019 IBM i market Survey, which HelpSystems did again in October 2018, had been concerned about decreasing IT spending. this is a remarkably low degree, and i account is indicative of how especially powerful the economic system is – excepting one of the fits and begins they noticed at the conclusion of 2018 and prerogative here in early 2019 that accomplish us fearful and will birth placing pressure on things. listed here are the preempt considerations as culled from the survey:
coping with the extend in statistics and in deciding the analytics to chunk on that statistics ranked a slight bit higher on the 2019 IBM i marketplace Survey than did cutting back expenses, and that i account over the lengthy haul these concerns will become greater essential than modernizing purposes and coping with the IBM i competencies shortages which are a perennial worry. each of these considerations are being solved as original programmers and original outfit to accomplish original interfaces to database applications are getting extra ordinary and as applied sciences similar to free configuration RPG, which looks extra devotion Java, Python, and Hypertext Preprocessor, are being more largely deployed and, importantly, may likewise live picked up extra at once by using programmers experienced with these other languages.
Given the character of the consumer base, it appears unlikely to me that protection and extravagant availability will no longer continue to live basic concerns, besides the fact that children that the IBM i platform is among the most at ease structures on the planet (and not just since it is imprecise, but since it is really complicated to hack) and it has quite a number high availability and catastrophe healing outfit (from IBM, Syncsort, Maxava, and HelpSystems) available for those that necessity to double up their techniques and present protection to their purposes and data. The bar is regularly higher than fundamental backup and recovery for a lot of IBM i shops within the banking, assurance, manufacturing, and distribution industries that dominate the platform. These businesses can’t abide security breaches, and they can’t abide downtime.
there's a extraordinary quantity of stability within the IBM i consumer foundation that they feel, at this factor, is reflective in the steadiness of the IBM i platform and great Blue’s personal faith that it needs a suit IBM i platform to abide an medium suit power systems business. entire of us comprehend that the vigour techniques hardware company has just grew to become in 5 quarters of income growth – whatever they mentioned currently in establishing their personal profits mannequin for the power techniques enterprise – however what they didn't understand, and what you should know, is that within the 2nd and third quarters of 2018, the IBM i ingredient of the industry grew drastically faster than the general power programs enterprise, and the only motive that this didn't revolve up in the ultimate quarter of 2018 is that revenue of IBM i outfit in this autumn 2017 changed into reasonably stalwart and represented a very difficult compare. The ingredient is, the IBM i industry has been elevating the vigour systems class common. (These pointers concerning the IBM i company Come compliments of Steve Sibley, vice president and offering supervisor of Cognitive systems at IBM.)
IBM’s personal financial poise of the power platform – which has been bolstered by means of a circulation into Linux clusters for analytics and high efficiency computing simulation and modeling as well as via the adoption of the HANA in-memory database through SAP customers on gigantic iron machines including Power8 and now Power9 methods – helps IBM i purchasers feel extra assured in investing within the current IBM i platform. The recent evidence from a number of diverse surveys, not just the one achieved through HelpSystems each year, suggests that agencies are by and gigantic either carrying on with to invest in the platform and even in some instances are planning to boost their spending on the IBM i platform in 2019.
As that you can see, the pattern of funding plans for the IBM i platform, as proven in the chart above, has no longer changed very plenty at entire during the past 4 years. it's a remarkably stable pattern with however a slight wiggling here and there that may likewise no longer even live statistically giant. simply below 1 / 4 of IBM i shops abide mentioned in the past four years that they map to boost their funding in the platform in every 12 months, and just below half grunt that they are conserving constant. This does not hint that the same organizations, yr after 12 months, are investing extra and different organizations are staying pat, 12 months after 12 months. it's pass more possible that every handful of years – greater devotion four or five – customers help their methods and expand their capacity, and that they then consume a seat tight. The prodigy is that the lop up isn’t showing some distance fewer organizations investing and far greater sitting tight. That greater than a tenth of the retail outlets don’t comprehend what their map is as each and every prior yr comes to an in depth is slightly disturbing, but it surely is honest and suggests that a significant portion of shops produce other priorities apart from hardware and operating gadget improvements. we've pointed out this before and they are able to grunt it once more: They account that the individuals who respond to surveys and read weekly publications focused on the IBM i platform are probably the most vigorous retail outlets – the ones more likely to reside fairly present on hardware and application. So the pace of adoption for brand spanking original applied sciences, and the rate of funding, should live greater than within the precise base, a distinguished deal of which does not exchange a lot in any respect.
So if they had to regulate this facts to consume on the entire base, there could live far fewer websites that are investing greater funds, pass more groups that are sitting tight, and perhaps fewer sites which are taking into account touching off the IBM i platform. I account the distribution of statistics is doubtless something devotion 10 p.c of outlets abide no thought what they are doing investment smart with IBM this year, 5 % are considering touching some or entire of their purposes to one other platform, possibly 10 percent are investing extra this 12 months, and the eventual 75 % are sitting tight. here is just a bet, of path. so far as they can tell, the rate of attrition – how many websites they really lose every yr – only a tad over 1 p.c. So the charge of run of purposes off the platform, or incidences of unplugging IBM i databases and functions, can likewise no longer live any site nigh as high within the accustomed foundation because the statistics above suggests. what's alarming, most likely, is that the rate of touching some or entire purposes off the platform is balanced in opposition t people that grunt they'll enhance investments. most likely these are hopeful survey takers, and those that suppose it is easy to stream determine it is not and those who account they'll determine the funds to accomplish investments will not.
What they upshot know is that if the cost of application attrition turned into anywhere near as extravagant as these surveys indicate, then the IBM i company would not live transforming into, however shrinking. And they are watchful of it isn't shrinking, so they account there's a disconnect between planning and reality, both on the upside and the draw back.
if you drill down into the facts for the 2019 IBM i industry Survey, there abide been 13 % of retailers that spoke of they'd live touching some purposes to a brand original platform, and one more 9 % that observed they had been going to flood entire of their applications off IBM i. (This quantity is in line with the simultaneous ALL400s survey executed by pass of John Rockwell.)
Anyway, first-rate luck with that.
Porting functions from one platform to a further, of purchasing a brand original suite on that original platform, is an incredibly difficult project. It isn't devotion attempting to trade a jade while using down the highway, as is a standard metaphor, but reasonably devotion making an attempt to consume the jade off one vehicle touching down the dual carriageway and installation it on an additional vehicle using beside it within the adjoining lane devoid of crashing either car or smashing into any person else on the highway. Optimism abounds, but when propel comes to shove, very few businesses try this sort of maneuver, and once they do, it is always as a result of there's a company mandate, greater times than now not led to through a merger or acquisition, that pits any other platform in opposition t IBM i operating on punch systems. organizations that grunt they're making such a flood off IBM i are sanguine for his or her personal personal factors, most likely, but they don't appear to live always realistic about how lengthy it may take, what disruption it will charge, and what surest benefit, if any, might live realized.
in case you upshot the maths on the chart above, eight-tenths of the bottom has no conception how long a movement will take, another 1.7 p.c thinks it'll consume more than 5 years, and three % grunt it will consume between two years and five years. simplest three.4 p.c of the entire foundation grunt they can upshot it in below two years. They account entire of these numbers are optimistic, and the companies who may effortlessly leave OS/400 and IBM i already did a very long time in the past and people that are abide abide a tougher time, now not an easier time, moving. If this abide been not authentic, the IBM i foundation would live a hell of an Awful lot smaller than the one hundred twenty,000 consumers they suppose are available, in accordance with what huge Blue has told us in the past. here's the incompatibility between dismay or power or culture and the reality of making an attempt to flood a enterprise off one platform and onto yet another. These moves are always a distinguished deal harder than they show on the entrance end, and they suspect many of the advantages likewise don’t materialize for people that upshot jump systems.
at the ordinary attrition charge advised through this survey facts – 9 % run off the platform in somewhere between one year and more than 5 years, with most businesses now not being capable of observe more than 5 years into the long Hurry it truly is a super trick – the installed foundation would reduce dramatically. it's difficult to affirm how a long pass as a result of the gigantic selection of timeframes within the survey. If it become 9 p.c of the foundation within two years – name it four.5 percent of the bottom per year – then within a decade the standard foundation would reduce from a hundred and twenty,000 IBM i websites worldwide prerogative down to about 72,000. this might theatrical indeed. but at a 1 % attrition charge per yr, the foundation is still at 107,500 exciting consumers (no longer websites and never setaside in machines, each of which might live larger) with the aid of 2029. They account there is every possibility that the attrition cost will definitely sluggish and drop underneath 1 % as IBM demonstrates dedication to the punch methods platform and its IBM i working equipment. There are entire the time some original customers being brought in original markets, to accomplish sure, however the bleed rate (even though it's small) remains probably an order of magnitude larger than the feed fee.
when they upshot account about making the flow, IBM i stores understand exactly where they wish to go, and this respond has been step by step changing through the years: Linux as an alternative to IBM i is on the climb and home windows Server as an preference is on the wane. within the latest survey, 52 percent of the companies that talked about they abide been touching entire or a few of their purposes to a further platform illustrious they abide been making a preference on windows Server, while 34 p.c chose Linux. This displays the relative recognition of home windows Server and Linux in the datacenters of the world at big, and may live tipped simply a bit more heavily against Linux in comparison to the leisure of the realm. interestingly, 10 % of these polled who mentioned they abide been relocating were looking at AIX platforms, and an additional 4 percent had been going upscale to device z mainframes – as not likely as this may likewise appear to be. structures are likely to roll downhill; they upshot not constantly front gravity devotion that.
The thing about such surveys is that they panoply intent, now not motion. They frequently intend to upshot much more than they truly can accomplish, and relocating platforms after spending a long time of extend expertise is not always a really sensible flood until the platform is in precise drawback – just devotion the Itanium systems from Hewlett Packard industry operating OpenVMS or HP-UX or the HP 3000s running MPE or the Sparc systems from Oracle operating Solaris. These had been once extraordinary platforms with great installed bases and tremendous earnings streams, but now, IBM is the closing of those Unix and proprietary systems with its power techniques line. And it is by pass of a long pass the biggest and for sure the only 1 displaying any increase.linked studies
The IBM i foundation Did certainly flood On Up
The IBM i foundation Is able to run On Up
investment And Integration indicators For IBM i
safety still Dominates IBM i discussion, HelpSystems’ 2018 Survey exhibits
The IBM i foundation no longer As Jumpy because it Has Been
The Feeds And Speeds Of The IBM i Base
IBM i Priorities For 2017: Pivot To protection
IBM i developments, issues, And Observations
IBM i Survey gets more advantageous As Numbers grow
the site upshot those IBM i Machines Work?
finding IBM i: A game Of 40 Questions
it is time to parade Us What you are up to
IBM i market Survey: The significance Of Being Earnest
What’s Up within the IBM i marketplace?
IBM i market Survey Fills in the Blanks
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February 11, 2019 Timothy Prickett Morgan
If nothing else, the IBM i platform has exhibited extraordinary longevity. One might even grunt legendary longevity, if you want to consume its history entire the pass back to the System/3 minicomputer from 1969. This is the actual starting point in the AS/400 family tree and this is when gigantic Blue, for very sound legal and technical and marketing reasons, decided to fork its products to address the unique needs of great enterprises (with the System/360 mainframe and its follow-ons) and minute and medium businesses (starting with the System/3 and touching on through the System/34, System/32, System/38, and System/36 in the 1970s and early 1980s and passing through the AS/400, AS/400e, iSeries, System i, and then IBM i on Power Systems platforms.
It has been a long Hurry indeed, and many customers who abide invested in the platform started pass back then and there with the early versions of RPG and moved their applications forward and changed them as their businesses evolved and the depth and breadth of corporate computing changed, touching on up through RPG II, RPG III, RPG IV, ILE RPG, and now RPG free form. Being on this platform for even three decades makes you a relative newcomer.
There is a longer Hurry ahead, since they believe that the companies that are still running IBM i systems are the proper diehards, the ones who abide no objective of leaving the platform and that, at least according to the survey data they abide been privy too, are intending to continue investing in, or even expand their investments in, the IBM i platform.
Thus far, they are not in a recession and heaven willing there will not live one, so the priorities that IBM i shops abide are not the ones that they had a decade ago during the height of the distinguished Recession. Back then, as was the case in just about entire IT organizations, IBM i shops were hunkering down and were trying to lop costs in entire ways possible, including deferring system upgrades and migrations as well as cutting back on other projects. Only 29 percent of the 750 IBM i shops that participated in the 2019 IBM i Marketplace Survey, which HelpSystems did back in October 2018, were concerned about reducing IT spending. This is a remarkably low level, and I account is indicative of how relatively stalwart the economy is – excepting some of the fits and starts they saw at the discontinuance of 2018 and here in early 2019 that accomplish us nervous and could start putting pressure on things. Here are the top concerns as culled from the survey:
Dealing with the growth in data and in figuring out the analytics to chew on that data ranked a slight bit higher on the 2019 IBM i Marketplace Survey than did reducing costs, and I account over the long haul these issues will become more essential than modernizing applications and dealing with the IBM i skills shortages that are a perennial worry. Both of these issues are being solved as original programmers and original tools to accomplish original interfaces to database applications are becoming more common and as technologies such as free configuration RPG, which looks more devotion Java, Python, and PHP, are being more widely deployed and, importantly, can live picked up more quickly by programmers experienced with these other languages.
Given the nature of the customer base, it seems unlikely to me that security and high availability will not continue to live primary concerns, despite the fact that the IBM i platform is among the most secure platforms on the planet (and not just because it is obscure, but because it is exceedingly difficult to hack) and it has a ambit of high availability and catastrophe recovery tools (from IBM, Syncsort, Maxava, and HelpSystems) available for those who want to double up their systems and protect their applications and data. The bar is often higher than simple backup and recovery for many IBM i shops in the banking, insurance, manufacturing, and distribution industries that dominate the platform. These companies can’t abide security breaches, and they can’t abide downtime.
There is a remarkable amount of stability in the IBM i customer foundation that they think, at this point, is reflective in the stability of the IBM i platform and gigantic Blue’s own faith that it needs a well IBM i platform to abide an overall well Power Systems business. They entire know that the Power Systems hardware industry has just turned in five quarters of revenue growth – something they discussed recently in developing their own revenue model for the Power Systems industry – but what they did not know, and what you should know, is that in the second and third quarters of 2018, the IBM i portion of the industry grew significantly faster than the overall Power Systems business, and the only intuition that this did not occur in the final quarter of 2018 is that sales of IBM i machinery in Q4 2017 was quite stalwart and represented a very tough compare. The point is, the IBM i industry has been raising the Power Systems class average. (These hints about the IBM i industry Come compliments of Steve Sibley, vice president and offering manager of Cognitive Systems at IBM.)
IBM’s own financial stability of the Power platform – which has been bolstered by a run into Linux clusters for analytics and high performance computing simulation and modeling as well as by the adoption of the HANA in-memory database by SAP customers on gigantic iron machines including Power8 and now Power9 systems – helps IBM i customers feel more confident in investing in the current IBM i platform. The recent evidence from several different surveys, not just the one done by HelpSystems every year, suggests that companies are by and great either continuing to invest in the platform or even in some cases are planning to extend their spending on the IBM i platform in 2019.
As you can see, the pattern of investment plans for the IBM i platform, as shown in the chart above, has not changed very much at entire in the past four years. It is a remarkably stable pattern with but a slight wiggling here and there that may not even live statistically significant. Just under a quarter of IBM i shops abide reported in the past four years that they map to extend their investment in the platform in each year, and just under half grunt that they are holding steady. This does not value that the same companies, year after year, are investing more and other companies are staying pat, year after year. It is far more likely that every handful of years – more devotion four or five – customers upgrade their systems and expand their capacity, and they then sit tight. The prodigy is that the split isn’t showing far fewer companies investing and far more sitting tight. That more than a tenth of the shops don’t know what their map is as each prior year comes to a nigh is a bit disturbing, but it is honest and shows that a significant portion of shops abide other priorities aside from hardware and operating system upgrades. They abide said this before and they will grunt it again: They account that the people who respond to surveys and read weekly publications focused on the IBM i platform are the most vigorous shops – the ones more likely to abide relatively current on hardware and software. So the pace of adoption for original technologies, and the rate of investment, should live higher than in the actual base, much of which does not change much at all.
So if they had to adjust this data to consume on the gross base, there might live far fewer sites that are investing more money, far more companies that are sitting tight, and maybe fewer sites that are contemplating touching off the IBM i platform. I account the distribution of data is probably something devotion 10 percent of shops abide no thought what they are doing investment sage with IBM this year, 5 percent are thinking about touching some or entire of their applications to another platform, maybe 10 percent are investing more this year, and the remaining 75 percent are sitting tight. This is just a guess, of course. As far as they can tell, the rate of attrition – how many sites they actually lose each year – just a tad over 1 percent. So the rate of movement of applications off the platform, or incidences of unplugging IBM i databases and applications, may not live anywhere near as high in the overall foundation as the data above suggests. What is alarming, perhaps, is that the rate of touching some or entire applications off the platform is balanced against those who grunt they will extend investments. Perhaps these are hopeful survey takers, and those who account it is easy to run find it is not and those who account they will find the money to invest will not.
What they upshot know is that if the rate of application attrition was anywhere near as high as these surveys suggest, then the IBM i industry would not live growing, but shrinking. And they know it is not shrinking, so they account there is a disconnect between planning and reality, both on the upside and the downside.
If you drill down into the data for the 2019 IBM i Marketplace Survey, there were 13 percent of shops that said they would live touching some applications to a original platform, and another 9 percent that said they were going to run entire of their applications off IBM i. (This number is consistent with the recent ALL400s survey done by John Rockwell.)
Anyway, first-rate luck with that.
Porting applications from one platform to another, of buying a original suite on that original platform, is an exceedingly difficult task. It is not devotion trying to change a jade while driving down the road, as is a common metaphor, but rather devotion trying to consume the jade off one car touching down the highway and installing it on another car driving beside it in the adjacent lane without crashing either car or smashing into anyone else on the road. Optimism abounds, but when propel comes to shove, very few companies try such a maneuver, and when they do, it is usually because there is a corporate mandate, more times than not caused by a merger or acquisition, that pits some other platform against IBM i running on Power Systems. Companies that grunt they are making such a run off IBM i are sanguine for their own personal reasons, perhaps, but they are not necessarily realistic about how long it might take, what disruption it will cost, and what ultimate benefit, if any, will live realized.
If you upshot the math on the chart above, eight-tenths of the foundation has no thought how long a run will take, another 1.7 percent thinks it will consume more than five years, and 3 percent grunt it will consume between two years and five years. Only 3.4 percent of the total foundation grunt they can upshot it in under two years. They account entire of these numbers are optimistic, and the companies who could easily leave OS/400 and IBM i already did a long time ago and those that are remain abide a harder time, not an easier time, moving. If this were not true, the IBM i foundation would live a hell of a lot smaller than the 120,000 customers they account are out there, based on what gigantic Blue has told us in the past. This is the incompatibility between dismay or pressure or culture and the reality of trying to run a industry off one platform and onto another. These moves are always a lot harder than they appear on the front end, and they suspect many of the benefits likewise don’t materialize for those who upshot jump platforms.
At the medium attrition rate suggested by this survey data – 9 percent run off the platform in somewhere between one year and more than five years, with most companies not being able to observe more than five years into the future that is a super trick – the installed foundation would shrink dramatically. It is tough to grunt how far because of the wide ambit of timeframes in the survey. If it was 9 percent of the foundation within two years – summon it 4.5 percent of the foundation per year – then within a decade the overall foundation would shrink from 120,000 IBM i sites worldwide down to about 72,000. This would theatrical indeed. But at a 1 percent attrition rate per year, the foundation is still at 107,500 unique customers (not sites and not installed machines, both of which are larger) by 2029. They account there is every casual that the attrition rate will actually unhurried and drop underneath 1 percent as IBM demonstrates commitment to the Power Systems platform and its IBM i operating system. There are always some original customers being added in original markets, to live sure, but the bleed rate (even if it is small) is still probably an order of magnitude larger than the feed rate.
When they upshot account about making the move, IBM i shops know exactly where they want to go, and this respond has been gradually changing over the years: Linux as an alternative to IBM i is on the climb and Windows Server as an alternative is on the wane. In the latest survey, 52 percent of the companies that said they were touching entire or some of their applications to another platform said they were choosing Windows Server, while 34 percent chose Linux. This reflects the relative popularity of Windows Server and Linux in the datacenters of the world at large, and may live tipped just a slight more heavily towards Linux compared to the leisure of the world. Interestingly, 10 percent of those polled who said they were touching were looking at AIX platforms, and another 4 percent were going upscale to System z mainframes – as unlikely as this may seem. Platforms mind to roll downhill; they upshot not usually front gravity devotion that.
The thing about such surveys is that they expose intent, not action. They often intend to upshot a lot more than they actually can accomplish, and touching platforms after spending decades of building up expertise is not usually a very smart run unless the platform is in actual wretchedness – devotion the Itanium systems from Hewlett Packard Enterprise running OpenVMS or HP-UX or the HP 3000s running MPE or the Sparc systems from Oracle running Solaris. These were once distinguished platforms with huge installed bases and tremendous revenue streams, but now, IBM is the eventual of these Unix and proprietary platforms with its Power Systems line. And it is by far the biggest and for sure the only one showing any growth.RELATED STORIES
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In the 1990s and well into the 2000s, if you had mission-critical applications that required zero downtime, resiliency, failover and high performance, but didn’t want a mainframe, Unix was your go-to solution.
If your database, ERP, HR, payroll, accounting, and other line-of-business apps weren’t Hurry on a mainframe, chances are they ran on Unix systems from four dominant vendors: Sun Microsystems, HP, IBM and SGI. Each had its own flavor of Unix and its own custom RISC processor. Servers running an x86 chip were at best used for file and print or maybe low-end departmental servers.
Today it’s a x86 and Linux world, with some Windows Server presence. Virtually every supercomputer on the Top 500 list runs some flavor of Linux and an x86 processor. SGI is long gone. Sun lived on for a while through Oracle, but in 2018 Oracle finally gave up. HP Enterprise only ships a few Unix servers a year, primarily as upgrades to existing customers with passe systems. Only IBM is still in the game, delivering original systems and advances in its AIX operating system.
We aren’t going to dwell on how they got here. Instead, this is a examine at where commercial Unix is going, and how and when it will eventually die. (Note: We're specifically talking about the decline of commercial Unix. still flourishing are the free and open-source variants such as FreeBSD, which was born out of the Berkeley Software progress (BSD) project at the University of California, Berkeley, and GNU.)Unix's unhurried decline
Unix’s decline is “more of an artifact of the lack of marketing appeal than it is the lack of any presence,” says Joshua Greenbaum, principal analyst with Enterprise Applications Consulting. “No one markets Unix any more, it’s kind of a dead term. It’s still around, it’s just not built around anyone’s strategy for high-end innovation. There is no future, and it’s not because there’s anything innately wrong with it, it’s just that anything innovative is going to the cloud.”
“The UNIX market is in inexorable decline,” says Daniel Bowers, research director for infrastructure and operations at Gartner. “Only 1 in 85 servers deployed this year uses Solaris, HP-UX, or AIX. Most applications on Unix that can live easily ported to Linux or Windows abide actually already been moved.”
Most of what remains on Unix today are customized, mission-critical workloads in fields such as financial services and healthcare. Because those apps are expensive and risky to migrate or rewrite, Bowers expects a long-tail decline in Unix that might eventual 20 years. “As a viable operating system, it’s got at least 10 years because there’s this long tail. Even 20 years from now, people will still want to Hurry it,” he says.Gartner
Gartner tracks the decline of original Unix sales.
Gartner doesn’t track install base, just original sales, and the trend is down. In Q1 of 2014, Unix sales totaled $1.6 billion. By Q1 of 2018, sales were at $593 million. In terms of units, Unix sales are low, but they are almost always in the configuration of high-end, heavily decked-out servers that are much larger than your typical two-socket x86 server.IBM the eventual UNIX man standing
It’s remarkable how tight-lipped people are over the situation of Unix. Oracle and HPE declined to comment, as did several IBM customers. IBM is still in the game, but Bowers notes, “I observe IBM investing $34 billion in Red Hat, but I don’t observe IBM investing $34 billion in AIX.”
Steve Sibley, vice president of cognitive systems offerings at IBM, acknowledges the obvious but says IBM will still abide a substantial number of clients on AIX in ten years, with the majority of clients being great Fortune 500 clients. He adds that there will likewise live a stable number of midrange customers in some ways “because they don’t want to expend the investment to derive off AIX.”
Rob McNelly, senior AIX solutions architect at Meridian IT, a services provider and cumbersome AIX user, says there is an 80/20 rule for original applications for AIX: 80% of customers don’t grow their AIX footprint, but 20% stays and expands in AIX.
“Because 20% is the larger enterprise systems, it is a very gigantic segment. In healthcare, many stable tier 1 production environments continue to invest and like the stability and security of AIX. Established and embedded ERP systems upshot likewise at entire layers,” McNelly says.
Many original applications pursue Linux, which
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